You are here: Home Currency News US Unemployment Rise Drives Up Yen and Dollar

US Unemployment Rise Drives Up Yen and Dollar

Added: October 02, 2009
The US unemployment rose again in September and this led to a stronger yen and US dollar. The Mexican peso fell due to its dependence on the condition of the US economy. The UK pound rose against the euro as the UK economy shows signs of increasing economic recovery rates. The South African rand weakened on the news of the failed merger plans between two large phone companies.

The Japanese yen strengthened to a 2-month high when it hit 130.10 against the euro.  The rise is attributed to the fact the US economy is faltering again giving credence to those economists who have said all along that stimulus programs are temporary fixes.

US unemployment continues to rise and that is leading to investor risk aversion. In September an additional 263,000 jobs were lost in the US. Unemployment now stands at 9.8 percent.   There were also disappointing manufacturing numbers reported proving the world’s largest economy is having difficulty shaking off the recession.

The US dollar also rose against the euro to $1.4534 per euro. The yen strengthened against the US dollar to 89.52 yen per dollar. The Dollar Index held steady at 77.170.

The G-7 meets this weekend and the strengthening euro will probably be one of the many topics discussed.  A euro growing too strong will reduce export profits and slow economic recovery.  But it remains to be seen if the G-7 will issue a public statement because public statements have an impact on currency values.  In addition, the G-20 has assumed a role as the world’s monetary spokes group.

The Mexican peso fell to a one month low on the news of worse than expected US unemployment.  The peso fell to 13.7619 peso per US dollar.  Mexico’s peso is one of the worst performing currencies against the US dollar yesterday.

Up to eighty percent of Mexico’s exports are sent to the US.  With unemployment still rising the chances of consumption rising are slim. This will negatively impact Mexico’s exports and thus the nation’s GDP. This is bad news for Mexico which is still trying to balance its budget for the next fiscal year.  There is disagreement between the political parties as to whether taxes on Mexican businesses and consumers should be increased to generate more revenue.

Because of the falling peso, the Mexican government decided to suspend a $50 million auction.  The current Mexican debt level is 40 percent of the GDP.

The Russian ruble rose against the euro to 43.8228 rubles per euro.  The ruble held steady against the US dollar. The ruble is measured against a basket of currencies made up of euros (45%) and dollars (55%).  The ruble is managed within a pre-established band of 26 to 41.

The UK pound strengthened against the euro as the UK economy shows signs of an increasing pace of recovery.  The International Monetary Fund increased the 2010 UK’s GDP growth forecast for the year 2010 to .9 percent. The increase in the projection is due to rising house sales and exports.

The UK pound rose to 91.14 pence per euro. This was good news because it is generally believed the pound had weakened too much against the euro.  The Bank of England has been managing a policy of quantitative easing which will not be expanded.

The South African rand fell to 7.6784 rand per US dollar which was a 2.1 percent depreciation.  The size of the fall was due to the failure of a proposed merger between 2 large phone carriers – Bharti Airtel Ltd and MTN.

 

Document Actions

Continued U.S. Unemployment Problems

Avatar Posted by Cary at Oct 26, 2009 01:55 AM
I must admit to ignorance when it comes to just how the weekly newly unemployed numbers correlate to the number of jobs lost. For example, it’s hard for me to understand how the total jobs lost in September could be just 263,000 when the reports for newly unemployed workers have consistently been coming in at over 500,000 per week. But one thing I do know is that the government’s optimism that this huge weekly number is beginning to drop slowly is all false bravado. The fact is that in private business, unlike the government, companies must restructure their business plan in light of slower times. And they do that not just for a few weeks or months, but for an intermediate to long term period of time. Once a company has re-established an effective labor structure the tendency is to maintain that “leaner and meaner” labor pool that is now resulting in profits at lower gross income numbers. Simply put, companies are not going to go from laying off workers to hiring new ones quickly. The result will be a long period of time with unemployment numbers higher than a full economic recovery will require.

Add comment

You can add a comment by filling out the form below. Plain text formatting.

(Required)
Please enter your name.
(Required)
(Required)
(Required)
Enter the word
Currency Converter Widget Banner
Currency Converter